Welcome to the âTake This Job and Shove Itâ Economy
This is a strange moment in the economy. Wages are up, but so is inflation. Jobs are growing, but maybe not fast enough. Quit rates are at a 21st-century high. It isnât clear whatâs a trend, whatâs a blip, whatâs a transition and whatâs now normal. And all this as the virus continues to stalk us and we process the trauma of the last 18 months.
âWe all will have various times in our life where weâll stop and say, âWhoa â am I going in the right direction? Is this the right occupation for me? Should I do something differently?ââ says Betsey Stevenson. âBut I canât think of any other time when itâs been a correlated shock across the entire country, where weâve all been faced â no, forced â to ask questions.â
Stevenson is an economist, and a highly accomplished one at that. She served as the chief economist of Barack Obamaâs Department of Labor and later a member of Obamaâs Council of Economic Advisers. Now sheâs a professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan, as well as co-host of the podcast âThink Like an Economist.â She has a rare talent to blend a rigorous approach to labor market economics with a recognition that people â our psychologies and fears and dreams â matter, and they shape our economic decisions. Particularly now.
So I invited Stevenson on the show to discuss the big picture of whatâs happening right now in the U.S. economy â wages, employment, inflation and the animal spirits driving much of it. She didnât disappoint. I came away from this conversation far less confused than when I walked into it.
Mentioned in this episode:
âThe Jobs Report Takeaway: A Huge Reallocation of People and Work Is Underwayâ by Betsey Stevenson
âExamining the uneven and hard-to-predict labor market recoveryâ by Lauren Bauer, Arindrajit Dube, Wendy Edelberg, and Aaron Sojourner
âWhy we got more inflation than I expectedâ by Matt Yglesias
âDo Hiring Headaches Imply a Labor Shortage?â by Paul Krugman